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A.P Heat! - All Posts by Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.

To the readers and followers of APHeat, you are no doubt wondering about this new look. About a year ago I set a retirement date of late 2017 - that's right, retirement. It's an odd word because my post-retirement schedule is already jammed full.  As part of my retirement planning, I wanted to find a great company to continue to host my blog. 

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
November 8, 2016

Card Counting Zoo Baccarat (ZooBac)

ZooBac is a collection of four independent baccarat side bets, the Rabbit (see this post), Tiger (see this post), Monkey (see the zero/zero tie in this post) and the Zoo. This post covers card counting the Zoo side bet and also summarizes a team approach to playing against the entire ZooBac collection of four side bets.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
February 2, 2014

Beating the Lucky Pairs Baccarat Side Bet

Lucky Pairs (LP) is one of the names given to the non-proprietary baccarat side bet that simply pays 11-to-1 for a dealt pair. The player can wager on either or both of the Player or Banker side to be dealt a pair. This wager is also available for blackjack (player only), with varying payouts depending on the number of decks used. Shuffle tracking may provide a viable way for the AP to attack this wager in a hand-shuffled blackjack shoe game. But, as a practical matter, the blackjack version can’t be exploited using a counting system.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
November 1, 2012

7 Reasons to NEVER Count Cards

The very first thing people think about when the topic of beating casinos comes up is blackjack card counting. The reason is simple - card counting is everywhere in our culture. For example, an Amazon.com search on books written about "blackjack card counting" returns 182 titles. Even more amazing, a Google search on "blackjack card counting" returns 363,000 results.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
January 25, 2017

Card Counting the UR Way Egalite Baccarat Side Bet

The Tie bet is among the safest side bets in baccarat. Various approaches have been tried in developing a strategy to defeat the tie (see this post and this post). However, even using computer perfect play and a cut card placed at 7 cards, an AP who places a $100 wager on the Tie bet whenever he has the edge will only earn about $33 per shoe (0.33 units per shoe). It is unlikely any serious AP would try to defeat the Tie bet.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
July 19, 2013

Cheating the Lucky Pairs Baccarat Side Bet

In this blog post I covered the basics of advantage play against the Lucky Pairs (LP) baccarat side bet. In the most common variation of LP, the player can wager that either the next Player or Banker hand will be a pair. A winning wager pays 11-to-1. With eight decks, the off-the-top house edge is 10.361%. Advantage play is not lucrative or easy for this bet.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
March 3, 2013

Beating the Baccarat Tie Bet

The baccarat Tie bet allows the player to wager that the result of the next hand of baccarat will be a tie between the Player and Banker hands. This wager is a standard part of the layout, like insurance in blackjack.  The desire to card count the main game of baccarat dates back to Dr.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
January 16, 2013

Card Counting the Buster Blackjack Side Bet, 6 Decks

One of the most common blackjack side bets in California card rooms is known as Buster Blackjack (BBJ).  I found this documentation online. The player who makes the BBJ wager wins if the dealer busts. The payout is then based on the total number of cards in the dealer’s busted hand.  There are a lot of details to share, so I’ve decided to break up the discussion into the six-deck case and the two-deck case.

By
Eliot Jacobson Ph.D.
April 25, 2013