“The long run is far from 10 millions spins. For the even chances its as little as 50.000 spins (placed bets). Why ?
Because: After 50.000 placed bets you will have encountered 1351 zeros which would have cost you 675 units. Now if you have managed to have 675 more hits than what is expected for an even chance game (you would be at +675 if you don`t count the zeros) you would have had a hit rate that resembles a standard deviation of 3 over 50.000 placed bets. Now the zeros remove effectively the +675 units. 3 SD covers 99.77% of all possible outcomes of the 50.000 spins, so yes, there is a small chance for you to still be in profit after 50.000 placed bets, but in reality 50.000 placed bets on a even chance game played with flat bets is the milestone to beat. Just one condition: Those 50.000 spins must NOT be backwards engineered and its without progression. If you use a progression the calculation looks different and its beyond my capability to calculate it, in fact the only one i have seen doing it was Laurance. The benchmarks looks like this:
A food for thought is that you actually have a far better chance of staying a live playing a split bet rather than the dozens.
Mind you, the majority of strategies on the EC`s will tank already between 15 – 30.000 spins, at 1 – 2 SD, its only that little fraction that happens to take it to the 3 SD where the 50K applies.
I am a roulette player. Neither an “editor” nor a “mathematician”. The difference is that I put my money where my mouth is. Most roulette sites are written by editors who have never placed a bet. They recycle knowledge and recite Wikipedia. And they are paid to write. I have paid dearly for every single word I write. I have invested money, time, aspirations and grey matter in roulette.
In my 20 years as a roulette player, I have played everywhere, I have tried innumerable of roulette strategies, studied, created or dismissed countless ideas and done all the mistakes you could possibly do. I learned and I’m here to tell you about it. I can’t fight luck and i can’t control randomness. But I do know what works and what doesn’t, what mistakes you should avoid and what you need to win.
Roulette 30
In June 2010, disappointed by misinformation, outrageous claims, cheating roulette games and “sure win” system and device sellers, I created “Roulette 30”. I wanted to share knowledge, inspire other roulette players to make the next step in their game. It is as a very personal project. Everything, from the articles and the design to the last line of code is handcrafted with love by myself! I started it out of love for the game and since then Roulette 30 became a passion into itself.
At Roulette 30 we strive to create the deepest, interesting and inspirational site about the game of roulette. In this site I've shared as much as I can. Freely. Learn the basics of roulette, study the math and the physics of the wheel and then think creatively and discover new answers to old, classic roulette questions.
Roulette 30 Forum
This is the best place for serious roulette discussion. With a knowledgeable and friendly roulette community. I have already written almost 2K posts in the forum. Everyone is welcome to ask or comment on anything about roulette.
Kavouras Bet
After many years of people asking me about my personal roulette strategy, with reluctance and great care I decided to share all the details of the Kavouras Bet system. In that site you will learn everything you need to know about it.
These are the articles I have written I’m most proud of:
Kavouras Bet strategy
Roulette Wheel secrets
The Romanosky bets strategy
Bets and payouts of roulette
Analysis of Labouchere progression
Debunking the myth that the house edge is a game-stopper
Beyond roulette
I’m a restless soul, a novelty seeker, a different viewer.
I’m a Sagittarius with a touch of Pisces and Scorpio.
I was born in 1970.
I have studied Physics in the university of Athens, but never worked as a physicist.
I worked 15 years as a copywriter and creative director in advertising companies
I love Alfa Romeos, Italo Disco, ASIA, Nietzsche and dark haired women, though I have better luck with light haired ones.
I’m a loner and sentimental. I love philosophizing and reading. I’m smart, but I’m lazy, dilatory and a perfectionist, so I rarely accomplish anything.
That’s my story.
I would love to hear your story or thoughts at 30@roulette30.com.
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